Bertrand M. Roehner, "Patterns of Speculation: A Study in Observational Econophysics"
Cambridge University Press; New Ed edition (July 14, 2005) | ISBN:0521675731 | 235 pages | PDF | 1,1 Mb
"The author presents an excellent description.... It is a very pleasant read.... the book is worth reading to anyone interested in these matters." Journal of Statistical Physics
"Roehner...is to be congratulated on his pioneering contribution." EH.NET
The main objective of this book is to show that behind the bewildering diversity of historical speculative episodes, it is possible to find hidden regularities. Speculative bubbles require the study of various episodes in order for a comparative perspective to be obtained and the analysis developed in this book follows a few simple but unconventional ideas. To that end, the author demonstrates how some of the basic concepts of dynamical system theory, such as the notions of impulse response, reaction times and frequency analysis, play an instrumental role in describing and predicting speculative behavior.
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